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Oz Bengur
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Danger for the Democrats?
After the split results from Iowa and New Hampshire, it now looks entirely possible that ‘Tsunami Tuesday’ Feb 5, when 22 states hold their primaries, might not decide the democratic nominee for president. The race would move to Maryland and Virginia which hold primaries the next week. Assuming the race between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton remains up in the air, the role of the party’s super delegates, consisting of its elected officials and party leaders will start to loom over the selection process.

It is not surprising that race has emerged as a sticky issue in the democratic primaries. Barack Obama is the first African American with a legitimate chance to win his party’s nomination. What is surprising is that Hillary’s campaign was responsible for bringing the issue into the public debate with her clumsy comments about Martin Luther King and potential first husband Bill’s reference to Obama’s positions being a “fairy tale”.

Hillary and Bill have to be extremely careful in criticizing Obama. Even Hillary’s campaign message that her experience should trump Obama’s message of hope carries with it the subtext that Obama needs to wait his turn. This condescension is guaranteed to raise the ugly image of a black man not being ready for the White House.

New Hampshire demonstrated the power of identity politics when Obama patronized Hillary as being “nice enough”. Both this episode and Hillary’s emotional moment motivated women to come to the polls in unprecedented numbers for Hillary and enabled her to claim an upset in a state that she had been leading by more than 20 points a few short months ago.

Democrats have relied on black votes to win races around the country and bring them the presidency. With Obama having a real chance, blacks will be able to vote for one of their own notwithstanding Bill Clinton’s prior support in the black community. So, criticizing Obama carries grave hazards for Clinton and the party.

If Clinton wins but she is perceived to cross a racial line in her criticism of Obama, black voters may feel burned. And if the super voters end up choosing her as the party’s nominee, blacks might believe that their best hope got the shaft by the party’s leaders.

Even the Clinton’s record with the black community might not be enough to overcome the resentment that might engender. It probably won’t mean that blacks will vote for the republican candidate, but they could stay home in critical swing states like Ohio, Michigan and Illinois.

With a small turnout of black voters in those states, even in a year when the political winds are strongly behind the democrats, could result in democrats snatching defeat from the jaws of victory next November.

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Comments:
Well it all comes clear. The African American vote is good enough for all parties, but not good enough to address the issues in the African American Community. With all due respect the esteemed Clinton Family Dynasty is trying once again to dupe black people into believing the branding Toni (misled) Morrison gave to Bill Clinton when she termed him the "First Black President". But what the Clinton's did in Detroit was synonymous to who they really are. They only had one candidate on the ballot in Detroit and that was Hillary Clinton. Detroit voters however, proved to be smarter than the slick and sly Clinton machine. 75% of Detroit's electorate voted "uncommitted" against Hillary Clinton because the other contenders Barack Obama and John Edwards were deliberately not on the ballot. What voters proved in Detroit is that the Machiavellian political thrust of the Clinton machine has awakened many African American voters who have been oblivious of their intrigues over the years. So many of us in the African American Community have been blinded by the great Toni Morrison's description of Clinton and allowed one of two American political dynasties to shape and dictate African American politics in recent history without any recourse to reason. Beware of the Clinton Surrogates on the trail to plant seeds of doubt in the minds of the electorate by coming out boldly to say something negative against Obama and then apologize for it the next day. Meanwhile, they have already confused the voters. Let's face it. We've suffered 4 years of daddy Bush, 8 years of George W., and 8 years of Bill Clinton. If Hillary were to win (and I pray she doesn't) we might suffer through 8 years of Slick Willie once again. With all do respect, African Americans have only legitimately been able to vote since 1964. We could potentially be faced with the reality of having two families represent us for 28 of the 44 years we have been allowed to participate in this process known as voting. Is this the kind of Democracy we want? Hell no! Besides I often wonder if the Clinton's are truly democrats. Bill Clinton knows how to win elections. He has the strongest attack machine. But that is straight from the republican political playbook. Remember, it was Bill Clinton that signed the omnibus crime bill that created the disparity in sentencing laws which disproportionately affected African American males in particular reducing habeas corpus rights of prisoners and increasing the population of jails which is now one of the largest growth industries on wall street. Even in this campaign, it was Bill Clinton who drew first blood and started negative campaigning against the African American candidate and saying that he experimented with drugs as a child. Obama had already exposed that fact when he wrote a tell all book two years before he decided to run for president. Congressman John Lewis is parading around the country stumping for Hillary but that doesn't surprise me. This is the same guy who lied on Dr. King. He and many other so-called Civil Rights leaders have joined the bandwagon playing the Clinton saxophone and we will not forget them at the polls. This misled group of individuals have not thrown their support behind Barack Obama. The good news... Because of their absence he has been able to broaden his range and scope and is not boxed in as the "Black" presidential candidate but rather as an "American" candidate who happens to be black. What they thought would hurt him has in fact helped him. The beauty of all of this is Barack Obama doesn't really owe those knuckleheads anything. He essentially defies the principles of politics 101 and has rewritten the script. He has added new meaning to being unbought and unbossed. Obama has raised more money over the Internet than any other candidate in history. His younger constituency has mastered the blogosphere and interactive media. He represents the new constituency that is fed up with business as usual. He represents real change for all people. Barack Obama represents a redistribution of the wealth. He reminds us that there are more than two families in this country. It's very refreshing to find a candidate these days that offers a ray of hope. Barack Obama has my vote in the primary. But if he doesn't win....anybody but Hillary Clinton
 
Veteran Democrats are increasingly displeased with Republican candidate John McCain's dismissive attitude toward the presumptive Democratic nominee, Barack Obama. "McCain isn't showing Obama enough respect," says a Democratic strategist. If McCain looks set in his ways and too stubbornly dismissive of a younger rival, voters could consider him a curmudgeon set in his ways—not a flattering image.

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Alicemark

Maryland Treatment Centers
 
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